In discussions
on the Modal Ontological Argument (MOA) it is often pointed out that there is
only one real premise; everything else is an entailed conclusion. That premise
is, more or less:
1.
It
is possible that God exists.
Now from this
premise it follows that God does exist, by the rules of modal logic. Some
people have suggested that the MOA does not truly succeed, since the opposite
premise could be made:
2.
It
is possible that God does not exist.
From the rules
of modal logic and what we mean by God, this argument will have the conclusion
that God does not exist. Since, for all we know (so the argument goes), either
(1) or (2) is true, then the MOA must not be a good argument, since the proper
response on these premises will be some kind of agnosticism (this would be
true, so the argument goes, even if we have independently good reasons for
thinking theism to be true, though I’m not sure how that works). But it’s worth
noting that (2) is not the opposing
premise to (1). So what is? Actually, it is this:
3.
It
is not possible that God exists.[1]
This, I think,
frames the discussion in the appropriate way. For now we want to weigh the
opposing premises (not necessarily premises that entail each other’s falsehood)
to see which of them bear the most plausibility, or from which we gather the
most modal intuition. We may have an equal amount of intuition, initially, for
(1) and (2) (I don’t, but that isn’t the point!). However, most people I know
do not share an equal amount of
intuition or prior plausibility for (1) and (3). Most people think that God’s
existence is at least possible, at least stronger than they do think that God’s
existence is impossible.
So what happens?
If we deem the premise more plausibly true than false, or more plausible than
its negation, then we find that the entailed conclusion of the MOA is that God
actually exists! If that is the case, we actually have acquired a reason to
think that (2) is false, or to prefer (1) to (2), thus breaking the stalemate
we might have had. Why do I say that? Well, any reason for thinking God exists
is a reason for thinking that the postulate that God’s existence is impossible
is mistaken; but any reason for thinking that “God’s existence is impossible”
is mistaken is a reason to think that (2) is false. This is because of the
entailment commitments of (1) and (2). You could just as easily say by
acquiring a reason to say God exists you’ve acquired a reason to say (2) is
false, and because of entailments, any reason to think (2) is false is a reason
to think (3) is false.
The takeaway is
that someone will have to come up with a reason to embrace (3) in order to run
the anti-MOA that results from (2). Someone will have to come up with a good
reason to think God’s existence is impossible, or else we will be within our
epistemic rights in believing that God’s existence is possible and, hence, God
exists.
[1] Thus, we actually see
the opposite of (2) is:
4. It is not possible that God does not exist.
Since
(2) and (4) are entailments of (3) and (1), respectively (after all, if it is
not possible that God exists, then, possibly, God does not exist; and if it is
possible that God exists, then it is not possible that God does not exist,
since God’s necessary existence turns out to be entailed by the MOA), then it
only makes sense that it is (1) and (3) that oppose each other.
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